Trade Review

MES1! Short2026-04-06

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The objective is not to grade the P&L. It is to grade the decision.

C+ Setup·Loss · Average Loss·RAS 58%

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Trade Review

📅 Trade Review — April 6th, 2026 🧠 Trade Narrative & Context HTF Bias

  • Bullish overall
  • Overnight:
    • ES trending higher
    • Taking out PDH
    • Holding strength into prior week high
  • Target:
  • 👉 Previous Week High (PWH) VIX Context
  • Overnight:
    • Initial strength → then weakness
  • At NY Open:
    • Fake strength (push above highs)
    • Then reversal + sell-off 👉 This confirmed: ES bullish continuation ⚠️ Key Narrative Truth You had the correct read from the beginning 📰 News Context
  • No major red folder event driving volatility spike
  • Market behavior driven by:
    • Opening volatility (9:30)
    • VIX displacement + rejection
  • Clean technical day (model-friendly) 🎯 Trades Taken 🔴 Trade 1 — Short (Against Bias) Details
  • Entry: ~6620.75
  • Stop Loss: ~6642 → adjusted to ~6633
  • Target: Lower continuation (not aligned with HTF)
  • Position Size (300K):
    • 20 contracts → added 20 more (40 total) ❌ Outcome
  • Full loss across accounts
  • ~-[amount redacted]per 300K account ⚠️ Issue
  • Trade was:
  • ❌ Against HTF bias
  • ❌ Based on assumption (VIX continuation)
  • ❌ Aggressively sized + added 🟢 Trade 2 — Long (Correct Bias) 150K Account (Executed Properly)
  • Entry: 6635.75
  • Stop Loss: 6626.75
  • Target: Previous Week High
  • Size: 10 micros
  • Management: No interference ✅ Result: +[amount redacted]300K Accounts (Mismanaged)
  • Entry: ~6636–6637
  • Stop Loss: ~6657 (initial structure)
  • Position Size:
    • 20 contracts → added 20 more ❌ Outcome
  • Moved stop too early → BE hit
  • Price then ran to target 👉 Should have been full winner 📊 Account Performance 📉 300K Accounts (5 PA + 1 Combine)
  • Daily Loss: -[amount redacted]per account
  • Total Combined Loss: -[amount redacted] 📈 150K PA Account
  • Daily Gain: +[amount redacted]
  • Balance: [amount redacted] 🧾 Summary
  • 300K Accounts: ❌ Mismanaged (should have been profitable)
  • 150K Account: ✅ Executed perfectly 📊 Rule-Based Evaluation (1–10 Scale)
  1. Narrative Alignment — 6.0 / 10
  • Strong initial read
  • ❌ Violated by taking short
  1. Setup Quality — 7.0 / 10
  • Long setup = A+
  • Short setup = invalid
  1. Entry Confirmation — 7.5 / 10
  • Entries were solid overall
  • No chasing
  1. Risk Management — 5.5 / 10
  • Proper SL placement
  • ❌ Oversized short
  • ❌ Added into wrong trade
  1. Position Sizing — 4.5 / 10
  • 40 contracts against bias = major violation
  • 150K sizing = perfect
  1. Trade Management — 4.0 / 10
  • ❌ Moved stop too early (300K)
  • ❌ Emotional protection behavior
  • ✅ 150K = perfect model execution
  1. Time Discipline — 7.5 / 10
  • Engaged at correct session
  • No overtrading outside window
  1. Emotional Control — 4.5 / 10
  • Revenge/compensation behavior after short loss
  • Protecting PnL instead of trusting model 📊 RAS Score (Rules Adherence Score) Total Score: 46.5 / 80 👉 RAS: 58% 🏁 Final Grade (Execution Quality) 👉 C+ 🎯 Main Improvement Areas
  1. ❌ NO TRADES AGAINST BIAS This single mistake caused the entire red day
  2. ❌ STOP MOVING STOPS EARLY You turned a winning day into a losing one
  3. ❌ POSITION SIZE DISCIPLINE Adding to a losing / wrong-bias trade = unacceptable 💡 Key Insight From The Day You don’t have a strategy problem — you have a discipline leak under pressure. 🧾 Bottom Line
  • Your model was correct
  • Your execution on 150K proves it
  • Your 300K accounts failed due to behavior, not skill ⚖️ Final Verdict 👉 This was a preventable red day If you:
  • Don’t take the short
  • Don’t move the stop early 👉 This becomes a strong green day across ALL accounts 🔥 Closing Thought This is one of the most important realizations: You are already trading at a profitable level — your only job now is to stop interfering.
Setup Tags
IMPULSIVERanging
Execution Quality
ImplusiveChasedEarly
Emotions
PatientRushedFOMOImpulsiveFocusedLocked In

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Written by Cory

Cory publishes the working thesis before the session, not after — this Playbook and Trade Review are part of that same documented process. No signals, no highlight reel.

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