MNQ1! Long — 2026-06-30
The objective is not to grade the P&L. It is to grade the decision.
Charts
Trade Review
Daily Trade Review – Tuesday, June 30, 2026
Market Narrative
Tuesday marked the final trading session of both June and the first half of 2026. Markets continued to trade with a bullish higher-timeframe bias following easing geopolitical tensions and strong institutional demand, while traders positioned ahead of Thursday's employment data.
Economic data released at 10:00 AM ET produced mixed results:
| Event | Actual | Forecast | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| House Price Index m/m | -0.1% | 0.2% | Slightly weaker housing data |
| Chicago PMI | 56.7 | 55.7 | Better than expected |
| Consumer Confidence | 91.2 | 94.4 | Weaker consumer sentiment |
| JOLTS Job Openings | 7.59M | 7.28M | Stronger labor demand |
Overall, labor data remained supportive of equities despite softer consumer confidence, helping fuel another strong rally in MES and MNQ.
Pre-Market Thesis
Overall Bias
Moderately Bullish
Objectives remained unchanged:
- ▸Trade only A+ setups.
- ▸Continue reduced position sizing.
- ▸Wait for displacement and confirmation.
- ▸Avoid chasing momentum.
- ▸Finish June protecting capital rather than forcing profits.
Trade Summary
Trades Taken
None
Despite multiple potential opportunities developing throughout the morning, none satisfied every requirement of your trading model.
The market ultimately rallied significantly in both MES and MNQ without providing the retracement necessary for entry.
Remaining flat was consistent with the plan established during the PMP.
VIX Review
The VIX continued confirming a bullish equity environment.
Key observations:
- ▸Daily Open: 17.54
- ▸Daily High: 17.75
- ▸Daily Low: 17.38
Pre-market produced another equal-high scenario around 17.75, but rather than breaking higher, VIX rolled over.
Important observations:
- ▸Failed to produce bullish displacement above the highs.
- ▸Broke below 17.58.
- ▸Continued selling toward 17.13.
- ▸Eventually reached 17.05.
The inverse relationship continued supporting higher equity prices.
However,
once VIX began accelerating lower, it never offered the clean retracement you require before establishing an entry.
MNQ Review
Pre-market produced a very attractive liquidity sweep.
Price:
- ▸Swept London Low.
- ▸Swept Daily Low.
- ▸Reclaimed structure.
You correctly waited for:
- ▸Displacement
- ▸Fair Value Gap
- ▸Order Block
- ▸Retracement
Planned Trade
Entry:
30,100.00
Stop:
30,035.25
Target:
30,416.75
Risk:
64 points
Potential Reward:
316 points
Risk-to-Reward:
Nearly 5:1
This was an excellent trade plan.
Unfortunately,
price never returned.
Instead,
MNQ exploded:
- ▸+154 points almost immediately after the open.
- ▸Another +332 points across the next several candles.
No retracement.
No entry.
No trade.
Exactly according to plan.
MES Review
MES behaved similarly.
The sequence:
- ▸London Low swept.
- ▸Daily Low established.
- ▸Higher low formed.
- ▸One-minute displacement appeared.
- ▸Five-minute structure remained incomplete.
Initial setup:
Entry:
7503.00
Stop:
7497.75
Target:
7542.00
Again,
price never offered the confirmation required.
Instead,
the market accelerated:
- ▸16 points
- ▸then 21 points
- ▸then 27 points
without retracing.
Later,
a second opportunity developed after a legitimate 5-minute Fair Value Gap formed.
Setup:
Entry:
7515.75
Stop:
7505.75
Target:
7542.00
However,
this coincided with the 10:00 AM economic releases, making immediate execution inconsistent with your news-trading rules.
Price tagged the Fair Value Gap with a single wick before exploding higher.
Again,
no confirmation.
No entry.
Execution Review
This session demonstrated exceptional discipline.
Several times throughout your narration you repeated the same conclusion:
"It moved... but there wasn't confirmation."
That statement summarizes today's trading perfectly.
Many traders would have:
- ▸chased the breakout,
- ▸entered emotionally,
- ▸widened stops,
- ▸rationalized poor entries.
Instead,
you consistently chose process over participation.
That is professional execution.
Risk Management
Outstanding.
You maintained every rule established before the session.
- ▸No oversized positions.
- ▸No emotional entries.
- ▸No chasing.
- ▸No revenge trades.
- ▸No unnecessary exposure.
- ▸Capital preserved.
Emotional & Psychological Review
Today's frustration was understandable.
The market rewarded direction.
It simply did not reward execution.
That distinction matters.
One comment stood out:
"I want to get my money back. I want to reinforce that my system works."
That's a very honest reflection.
The important thing is what followed:
"I'll stay positive... I'm grateful I still have my accounts."
That shift prevented frustration from turning into impulsive trading.
You acknowledged the emotion without allowing it to dictate your behavior.
That is meaningful progress.
Rule Compliance
| Rule | Result |
|---|---|
| Followed PMP Bias | ✅ |
| Waited for Confirmation | ✅ |
| No Chasing | ✅ |
| Respected News Window | ✅ |
| Reduced Risk Maintained | ✅ |
| Emotional Discipline | ✅ |
| Capital Preservation | ✅ |
| Higher-Timeframe Alignment | ✅ |
Account Summary
Accounts Traded
No trades executed.
All [broker] accounts remain unchanged.
Including:
- ▸[broker] 300K Evaluation #22
- ▸PA [broker] 300K #02
- ▸PA [broker] 300K #03
- ▸PA [broker] 300K #04
- ▸PA [broker] 300K #05
- ▸PA [broker] 300K #06
- ▸[broker] 300K #005 ([broker])
All balances remained unchanged heading into Wednesday's session.
What Went Well
- ▸Excellent patience.
- ▸Correctly interpreted VIX throughout the session.
- ▸Did not chase momentum.
- ▸Built multiple high-quality trade plans.
- ▸Recognized when news invalidated immediate execution.
- ▸Stayed emotionally composed despite missing large moves.
- ▸Protected every funded account.
Areas for Improvement
Very little requires improvement from an execution standpoint.
The primary research topic remains:
How often do strong trend days fail to retrace into the first Fair Value Gap?
If this becomes a recurring market condition, it may eventually justify developing a separate continuation model.
For now, however, your existing rules remain appropriate.
Lessons Learned
Not every bullish day produces a tradable bullish setup.
Today's session rewarded traders willing to chase momentum.
Your trading model is designed to capture repeatable institutional entries—not random breakouts.
Missing profitable moves hurts emotionally.
Taking low-quality trades hurts financially.
You chose the better outcome.
Account Status
Accounts Active: 7
- ▸[broker] 300K Evaluation #22
- ▸PA [broker] 300K #02
- ▸PA [broker] 300K #03
- ▸PA [broker] 300K #04
- ▸PA [broker] 300K #05
- ▸PA [broker] 300K #06
- ▸[broker] 300K #005 ([broker])
Trades Executed: 0
Net P/L: [amount redacted]
Capital Preserved: 100%
RAS (Review Assessment Score)
| Category | Score |
|---|---|
| Narrative Alignment | 10 / 10 |
| Liquidity Mapping | 10 / 10 |
| Higher-Timeframe Structure | 10 / 10 |
| Lower-Timeframe Confirmation | 10 / 10 |
| Risk Management | 10 / 10 |
| Execution Discipline | 10 / 10 |
| Emotional Control | 9 / 10 |
| Model Integrity | 10 / 10 |
Total: 79 / 80
RAS Score: 98.75%
Final Grade
A (98.75%)
This was another excellent process day. The only reason it falls just short of a perfect score is your own reflection near the end of the review, where the frustration of wanting to "get your money back" surfaced. You didn't act on that feeling—which is the important part—but it indicates there is still a small amount of performance pressure influencing your mindset. From an execution standpoint, however, you traded exactly as your model requires: you waited for displacement, demanded confirmation, respected scheduled news, refused to chase extended moves, and preserved all seven [broker] accounts. If you continue producing days like this, the profitability you're looking for is much more likely to come from consistent execution than from trying to force it.
Cory publishes the working thesis before the session, not after — this Playbook and Trade Review are part of that same documented process. No signals, no highlight reel.
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